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“Bourbon, Welcome to India”

Ambrosia Magazine 2025 Awards jury member and global spirits expert shares his take on the future of Bourbon and American whisky in India. He is an award winning whisky expert, Keeper of The Quaich and Whisky Magazine Hall of Fame Member.

For the last twenty-five years whisky has enjoyed an unprecedented global growth in popularity, profit, expansion and appreciation in the alcobev industry, and among adult beverage consumers. While Scotch whisky has definitely dominated the landscape for decades, increasing – global travel, social media and global awareness has seen the world’s whisky industry explode. Whisky drinkers are now global explorers, enjoying flavours, aromas, enthusiasm and excitement from all over.

Nowhere is that more exciting than in India, the world’s largest whisky consuming and whisky producing country. India’s own export whiskies are gaining worldwide recognition, almost daily, as they continue to receive accolades and awards at major international competitions. The excitement is in India as well, not just for locally produced products but for whisky from other countries. The popularity of whisky continues to grow among Indian consumers as they explore outside the traditional boundaries. 

Bourbon, together with its sibling Tennessee whisky and with its cousin, American Rye whisky, is America’s most popular spirit and has been enjoying growth at home and abroad. Virtually every alcohol consuming culture has a whisky or two which uniquely identifies with the local ingredients, natural resources and climate. Some emulate Scotch whisky, as Scotch is iconic and renowned for its flavour and its traditions. Others celebrate their differences and use local grains and ingredients to achieve a whisky experience which reflects their origins.

Bourbon is a uniquely American spirit and, by law, regulation and international trade agreements, it is acknowledged and protected as such. To carry the label ‘Bourbon’, it must be made in the United States and distilled from at least 51% corn maize, which brings a sweet and fruity character all its own. The balance of grain, called a “mash bill” must be composed of cereal grains – generally rye or wheat – with some malted barley. Bourbon must be matured in new, charred oak containers. The production standards are very specific and while most Bourbon is produced in the state of Kentucky, it can be made in any part of the U.S.

What does the future hold for Bourbon globally and in India? The global Bourbon spirits market is experiencing strong growth, despite a current slowdown due to international tariffs and uncertainty, with projections indicating a rise from approximately $8.2 billion in 2022 to $12 billion by 2030, driven by factors like premiumisation, craft distilleries and international demand.

Here’s a more detailed look at the bourbon volume growth.

• Premiumisation:

Consumers in India and elsewhere are increasingly seeking higher-quality and premium whisky offerings, leading to growth in the high-end and super-premium categories.

• Craft Distillery Interest:

There is growth in craft distilleries and artisanal whisky production which caters to the demand for unique and distinctive spirits.

• International Demand:

Bourbon’s popularity is expanding internationally, with key export markets like Europe, Japan, and Australia showing significant recent gains.

• Popular Cocktail Culture:

The “Cocktail Revolution” continues to expand internationally. The growing popularity of Bourbon-based cocktails and the expansion of cocktail culture further fuels demand. Many classic whisky cocktails are quite adaptable to Bourbon. India is a current global hotspot for this revolution.

• Cross Demographic Appeal and Affordability:

Bourbon has two very important characteristics which make it particularly attractive. First, accessibility – there is the range of pricing from value brands, which are priced to compete with popular, less expensive spirits to ultra-premium labels which appeal to connoisseurs and collectors. The second, perhaps more important, appeal – Bourbon is transgenerational in its appeal and crosses the full range of enthusiasts of all ages, genders and economic classes. In India, this translates into a product which will appeal to younger, aspirational drinkers and explorers.

• Tourism and Distillery Visits:

With return to global travel and the unique relationship between The US and India, particularly in the tech industry where whisky enjoys exceptional popularity, there is resurgence of tourism and distillery visits, providing immersive experiences for consumers, contributes to market growth. This is particularly apparent in Kentucky and Tennessee just as it is also beginning to happen in India.

• Sustainability:

Many distilleries are embracing eco-friendly practices, aligning with consumer demand for environmentally responsible products.

Market Projections:

• Global Market Value:

The global bourbon spirits market is expected to reach $12 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 5.6% between 2023 and 2030.

• North America Dominance:

North America remains the dominant market for bourbon, benefitting from strong local demand and a well-established production infrastructure.

• India and Asia-Pacific Growth:

The Asia-Pacific region is projected to experience the fastest growth in the bourbon spirits market. The opportunities in India are exciting as US Bourbon currently enjoys an import duty advantage over its Scotch whisky competitors and cheaper local IMFL products, making it competitive.

• Producers such as DIAGEO, which makes the incredibly fast growing and much celebrated brand, Bulleit Frontier Whiskey Bourbon, as well as several other American whiskey brands, have a strong advantage because of their already well-established infrastructure and market presence in India as well as their familiarity with local whisky culture.

Specific Growth Figures:

•    In 2022, bourbon and Tennessee whiskey volumes in the U.S. grew by 4.2% to 29.7 million 9-liter cases, with revenues increasing by 10.5% to USD 4.5 Billion.

•    The global bourbon spirits market was valued at nearly US$ 8 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 15 billion by 2030.

•    The global Bourbon category is predicted to grow by 5% between 2022 and 2031.

•    The global bourbon spirits market was valued at $7.8 billion in 2021, and is projected to reach $12.8 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5% from 2022 to 2031.

The Bottom Line
– Bourbon’s Future in India

India is excited about American whiskey. A new, younger generation of educated, globally aligned consumers is energising the whisky market in India and Asia. Currently there are number of products available in India which includes Jack Daniel’s, Jim Beam, Woodford Reserve, Maker’s Mark, Gentleman Jack and Old Forester. And with the entry of Sazerac through John Distilleries Ltd as well as scores of other US companies, the Indian market will be flooded with bourbon and Tennessee whiskeys. Bourbon enjoys a particularly competitive advantage over other imported spirit products. My prediction – a bright and sunny future for Bourbon in India.

– Steve Beal

spiritsEUROPE deeply disappointed over EU announced Tariffs on US Whiskey & spirits

spiritsEUROPE has said that it is extremely concerned by the announcement of the European Union on rebalancing tariffs on US whiskey and other US spirits categories in response to US tariffs on steel and aluminium. It has urged the EU and the US to keep spirits out of unrelated disputes.

The announcement comes at a particularly difficult time for the spirits sector, amidst geopolitical tensions and a marked slowdown in many key markets. If implemented on 1 April, these tariffs will have a hugely damaging impact on the EU companies that produce US spirits, US companies that are heavily invested in Europe and all actors in the value chain, putting at risk the many jobs they support, including in rural areas.

“Yet again, spirit drinks have become collateral damage in an unrelated trade dispute. As highlighted in our numerous engagements with the European Commission over the last seven years, we fail to understand how this will help with the broader, unrelated dispute on steel and aluminium. The EU and US spirits sectors stand united in their steadfast commitment to maintaining transatlantic spirits trade tariff-free,” said Pauline Bastidon, Trade & Economic Affairs Director at spiritsEUROPE.

The 1997 reciprocal zero-for-zero agreement that eliminated tariffs on spirits led to a remarkable 450% growth in transatlantic trade until 2018, before retaliatory tariffs were first introduced. Their return would have devastating consequences for the sector and put at risk the strong transatlantic trade & investment flows that have benefitted both sides and created so many interconnections on both sides of the Atlantic.

“The clock is ticking. We urge the EU and the US to keep spirits out of unrelated disputes while they work on resolving their differences and protecting the vitally important transatlantic trade relationship,” she said.  

India-US Trade: Reciprocal Tariff Not Yet Imposed

The Minister of State for Commerce and Industry, Jitin Prasada has said in the Lok Sabha that the United States under the Trump administration has not yet imposed reciprocal tariffs and that both countries were planning to negotiate a trade agreement, focussing on increased market access, reduction of import duties and removing non-tariff barriers.

In a written reply to the Lok Sabha, the Minister said, “Both countries plan to negotiate a mutually beneficial, multi-sector Bilateral Trade Agreement. Both countries would focus on increasing market access, reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers, and enhancing supply chain integration.”

Confirming the same, the Commerce Secretary Sunil Barthwal informed the Parliamentary Standing Committee on External Affairs that negotiations between the two nations are still on and no agreement on trade tariffs has been reached so far. Barthwal briefed the committee, headed by Congress MP Shashi Tharoor, and said that bilateral trade agreement talks between the two nations are still on.

When members of the committee asked why India was not raising its voice against tariffs, as done by Canada and Mexico, he said the two were not comparable as the US had security concerns and border immigration issues with them.

It is reported that the Commerce Secretary assured the committee that India will sign a “mutually beneficial agreement”. He said India will protect any industry which is crucial to its domestic economy, saying that developing countries cannot lower their tariffs on everything.

It must be mentioned here that soon after Donald Trump took charge as President of the US, the US government issued Memorandum on Reciprocal Trade and Tariffs, wherein the Secretary of Commerce and United States Trade Representative were to take necessary actions to investigate harm to America from any non-reciprocal trade arrangements adopted by trading partners and provide a report with detailed proposed remedies for each trading partner.

Prasada also said that India continues to engage with the US to achieve enhancement and broadening of bilateral trade ties in a mutually beneficial and fair manner. “This is an ongoing exercise and Indian exporters are working towards diversifying trade baskets and export destinations.”

In 2023-24, India exported engineering goods worth USD 17.62 billion. The other major goods included electronics (USD 10 billion), gems and jewellery (USD 9.9 billion), petroleum products (USD 5.83 billion), textiles (USD 4.7 billion), marine products (USD 2.5 billion). During 2021-24, America was India’s largest trading partner. The US is one of the few countries with which India has a trade surplus. Trump had said, “India charges us massive tariffs, massive you can’t even sell anything in India. It’s almost… it is restrictive. You know, we do very little business inside. They have agreed, by the way. They want to cut their tariffs way down now because somebody’s finally exposing them for what they have done.”

Recent Bloodbath in Stocks, How Liquor Stocks are Performing

In the recent past, the stock market has crashed massively with the BSE Sensex going below 77,000 and the NSE Nifty50 also saw a sharp decline. Most broader market indices have been in the red. At the time of writing on February 13, the Sensex and Nifty were trading higher bringing relief for investors, following a six-day decline. The rise has been attributed to the meeting of the Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi with the US President Donald Trump and the appreciation of the rupee against the dollar.

How have the liquor stocks been performing in this backdrop. It is reported that a few liquor stocks are outperforming consumer staples, even though there is slowdown in consumption. Brokerage firms are betting on some liquor stocks, the notable ones being Radico Khaitan and United Spirits. Some brokerage firms have estimated an upside potential of up to 19%, while some others have given six stocks a growth potential of 7% to 54%, something to cheer.

This is despite the demand environment remaining muted in Q4 FY24 due to inflation. In the previous quarter, liquor companies have had higher sales, thanks to the festive season, Cricket World Cup and wedding season.

United Spirits, a good bet

Though United Spirits, with famous brands such as Johnnie Walker, Black & White, Black Dog, Signature, Royal Challenge, McDowell’s No.1, Smirnoff and many more, had subdued sales in Q4 FY24, it is now focussed on premiumisation, in line with global trend of upgrading to better brands.

For the fourth quarter of FY24, the company recorded consolidated net sales of ₹2,666.00 crore, down from ₹2,989.30 crore in the December quarter and ₹2,864.70 crore in the September quarter. For the nine months ending December of the current financial year, the company notched up net sales of ₹18,995.50 crore, compared to ₹7,879.90 crore in FY22, ₹6,946.60 crore in FY21, and ₹5,664.80 crore in FY20. PAT for the nine months of the current year stood at ₹927.60 crore, compared to ₹847.70 crore in FY22.

United Spirits stock is trading at ₹1394.50 (down 3%) with the 52week low being ₹1075 and the high being ₹1700. If an individual had invested ₹1 lakh on February 12, 2020, it would now be worth ₹2.02 lakhs.

Radico Khaitan Riding High on Premiumisation

The next company to watch is Radico Khaitan, manufacturers of Rampur Indian Single Malt Whisky, Magic Moments, Dazzle Vodka, 8PM whisky and more. The company, one of the largest manufacturers of Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL), which has 30 plus bottling units, over 75,000 retail outlets, reported an increase of 27.05% in its consolidated net profit to ₹95.48 crore in the third quarter ended December 2024. The company had posted a consolidated net profit of ₹75.15 crore in the October-December quarter a year ago, according to a BSE filing from Radico Khaitan.

Its revenue from operations went up 8% to ₹4,440.90 crore during the quarter under review. The figure was ₹4,111.23 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal. In the December quarter, Radico Khaitan’s total IMFL volume was at 8.36 million cases, up 15.3% year-on-year. The Chairman & Managing Director Lalit Khaitan said, “Despite challenges in overall consumption growth, the spirits industry in India has experienced strong momentum, particularly driven by premium brands. In this context, we have delivered an impressive operational performance in Q3 FY25.”

Radico Khaitan is driving a premiumisation strategy which has benefitted the company’s financials. The premium products category is growing at over 20%. Rampur India single-malt whisky is gaining popularity by the day, all of which are driving EBITDA margins to 17-18% and improving the cash flow. The company expects these positives to result in a sharp fall in its debt levels by FY26.

If an individual had invested ₹100 in Radico Khaitan in 2021, it would now be fetching ₹242.81. The stock is trading on February 13, 2025 at ₹2,119 (down by ₹118 for the day).

United Breweries 17% gain in a year

United Breweries, subsidiary of Heineken N.V and makers of Heineken, Kingfisher Premium, Zingaro, Kalyani Black Label, London Pilsner etc., had gained 3.9% in trade following Heineken N.V reported its 2024 full-year results. The market capitalisation of the company stood at ₹54,561.32 crore. The 52-week high of the stock was at ₹2,299.4 per share and the 52-week low of the stock was at ₹1,645.8 per share.

UB is a market leader and its brand Kingfisher grew in volume in mid-single-digit, while Kingfisher Ultra and Heineken Silver volumes grew in the mid-thirties, gaining segment market share. UB shares have gained 17% against Sensex’s rise of 7.3% in the past one year.

Sula Vineyards Robust Growth

India’s largest wine producer, Sula Vineyards, has reported robust growth in its premium wine portfolio and wine tourism segment for the third quarter (Q3) and nine months (9M) of FY25, despite a challenging market environment. The company, known for its expansive range of wines and innovative wine tourism initiatives, announced its financial results, showcasing resilience and strategic adaptability.

In its latest performance update, Sula posted its highest-ever 9M net revenue of ₹489.2 crore, marking a 1.7% year-on-year (YoY) growth. This growth was largely driven by the company’s premium and elite wine brands, which saw a 5.6% YoY increase in Q3. The share of these higher-end labels in the company’s portfolio reached an all-time high of 80.5% in Q3, up from 77% last year, reflecting Sula’s strategic focus on catering to India’s evolving taste for luxury and quality.

Wine tourism, a key differentiator for Sula, also shone brightly, recording a remarkable 11.6% YoY growth in Q3 revenue. This was attributed to a vibrant festive and wedding season, coupled with higher guest spending, improved occupancy rates (81% compared to 76% in the previous year), and an increase in Average Room Rates (ARR).

However, the company faced significant headwinds in Q3, impacting profitability. The reduction in WIPS credits resulted in a direct EBITDA impact of ₹4.7 crore for the quarter, contributing to a 26.3% decline in EBITDA to ₹53.9 crore. Profit After Tax (PAT) also fell by 34.7% YoY to ₹28.1 crore, reflecting the pressures on margins.

Sula Vineyards share price is ₹317.55 as of February 13, having a 52 Week high of ₹639.95 while 52 week low is ₹308.10. Some brokerage firms are suggesting investors to hold on.

Tilaknagar Industries confident

Tilaknagar Industries Ltd., primarily engaged in the manufacture and sale of IMFL and extra-neutral alcohol, has brands such as Courrier Napoleon Brandy-Green, Mansion House Whiskey, Lumumba, Apple Fizz, Madira Rum, Brandy Smash, Warm Punch, etc.

Tilaknagar Industries for nine months FY25 had a net revenue from operations at ₹1,028 crore v/s ₹1,035 crore the previous period. The EBITDA improved by 28.6% to ₹176 crore v/s ₹137 crore; adjusted for the subsidy income. Volumes grew 2.1% to 84.9 million cases, while the net service revenue stood at ₹1,227 per case.

However, the company’s share price had hit 20% lower circuit at the time of writing, following the Bombay High Court’s dismissal of its petition in a trademark dispute involving the Mansion House brand. The company is going on an appeal on the Court order. The share price on February 13 was ₹261, the 52 week high been ₹457 and the low been ₹182.05, with a lot of promise. The alcobev market in India has been growing gradually over the years, thanks to the rising disposable income, urbanisation and retail innovations, all of which are making liquor stocks a good bet, despite the industry been highly regulated and prohibition in place in some states. The alcobev sector is dynamic, attracting investors as demand for alcobev products sees no decline. India’s alcohol industry is projected to reach sales of US$ 112,338.9 million by 2034, indeed a bet worth taking.

Diageo India appoints Praveen Someshwar as CEO-Designate, Hina Nagarajan to Global Executive position

United Spirits Limited (“Diageo India”) on January 13 announced the appointment of Praveen Someshwar as CEO-Designate. Hina Nagarajan, current Managing Director and CEO of Diageo India, will transition into another position on Diageo’s Global Executive Committee after four very successful years.

Praveen will join the company on 1 March 2025 as CEO-Designate. In accordance with the applicable law and upon receipt of the necessary approvals, Praveen will take over from Hina Nagarajan as Managing Director and CEO of Diageo India and join the Diageo Executive Committee, effective 1 April 2025.

For the last five years, Praveen has been MD and CEO of HT Media, one of India’s largest and best-known media groups, where he leads multiple digital, print and radio outlets including India’s second largest newspaper, Hindustan Times, the leading financial news outlet Mint, and several radio outlets.

Diageo Chief Executive Debra Crew said “Under Hina’s leadership, Diageo India has combined strong top-line growth and margin expansion with impactful strategic initiatives, reshaping and premiumising our portfolio and positioning Diageo India as an innovative leader in the AlcoBev industry. As she moves on to a new role within Diageo, she leaves a significant track record of success and a highly engaged, talented and diverse team.

“Praveen joins us with an outstanding track record of leading consumer businesses, with a passion for both strategy and executional excellence that will serve us well as we plan for the next phase of Diageo India’s exciting growth story. I can’t wait to welcome him on board.”

Mahendra Kumar Sharma, Chairman of the USL board, said “On behalf of the USL Board, we wish to extend our sincere thanks to Hina for her strong stewardship of the business and her partnership with the Board. Together with the team in India, she has led a bold ambition for growth that has driven market share gains across multiple categories, and she leaves the business with a clear strategy and growth momentum. The Board and I also wish to welcome Praveen, who we look forward to working with and offering our full support as he transitions into this important leadership position.”

Hina Nagarajan said “It has been a true privilege to lead Diageo India during a period of strong strategic progress and sustained, profitable double-digit growth for the business, with our market capitalisation growing to more than INR 1 trillion (~US$ 12.5 Bn). I wish all my Diageo India colleagues ongoing success and look forward to supporting them as they continue their work in building this fantastic business under Praveen’s leadership.”

Praveen Someshwar said “I am delighted to be joining Diageo – a business with world-leading brands, talented colleagues, and a long-term commitment to developing its business sustainably in India. I look forward to working with my new colleagues to build on their great work.”

Suntory Holdings establishes Suntory India

Names Masashi Matsumura as Managing Director

Suntory Holdings has announced the establishment of Suntory India Private Limited, which aims to cover corporate functions required to build a firm business foundation and accelerate growth in its existing spirits business and establish opportunities for soft drinks as well as health and wellness businesses in the Indian market. The new company will commence its operations in July.

“We are delighted to unveil a new base of Suntory Holdings in India, a country with a large population and a rapidly growing economy,” said Tak Niinami, President & CEO of Suntory Holdings. “India is a remarkably attractive market and a key geopolitical player on the global stage, with strong cultural and economic ties with Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. Together with our spirits business, Suntory Global Spirits, we will enhance our presence as a multifaceted beverage company in this vital market by supporting our soft drinks and health & wellness businesses to build foundations in India through investments and partnerships.”

Suntory India will be headed by Managing Director, Masashi Matsumura with its office located in DLF Cyber City, Phase II, Gurgaon, Haryana.

The Group offers a diverse portfolio of products, from award-winning Japanese whiskies Yamazaki and Hibiki, iconic American whiskies Jim Beam and Maker’s Mark, canned ready-to-drink -196, The Premium Malt’s beer, Japanese wine Tomi, and the world-famous Château Lagrange. Its brand collection also includes non-alcoholic favourites Orangina, Lucozade, Oasis, BOSS coffee, Suntory Tennensui water, TEA+ OolongTea, and V energy drink, as well as popular health and wellness product Sesamin EX. Founded as a family-owned business in 1899 in Osaka, Japan, Suntory Group has grown its operations throughout the Americas, Europe, Africa, Asia and Oceania, with an annual revenue (excluding excise taxes) of $20.9 billion in 2023. It has a strength of 41,511 employees across the world.